Santa Anita: Saturday Stakes Preview

Chandelier Stakes (Grade 1)

Purse: $250,000

Top 3: #7 Executiveprivilege, #9 Slamera, #6 Butterfly Soul

Analysis: This is a large field, but the quality is questionable.  However, there in no doubting the talent of EXECUTIVEPRIVILEGE.  She’s perfect on her career, and I think she wins this one in route to the Breeders Cup.  SLAMERA finished second in the Adirondack Stakes last time out, and looks as though more distance will be right up her alley.  BUTTERFLY SOUL finished a very close second to Exectutiveprivilege at Del Mar over synthetic surface.  Can she put up that kind of effort again on the dirt? Continue reading

Belmont: Saturday Stakes Preview

Jockey Club Gold Cup Invitational (Grade 1)

Purse: $1,000,000

Top 3: #1 Ron the Greek, #5 Fort Larned, #9 Flat Out

Analysis: For me, this one boils down to a three-horse rematch of this years Whitney Stakes at Saratoga. RON THE GREEK got a horribly wide trip in that race when finishing a close second.  Look for him to get a better trip in this one, and that coupled with the extra distance will make him dangerous.  FORT LARNED was the winner of  the Whitney, and is probably the deserving favorite.  He’s put two really solid wins together.  FLAT OUT won this race last year, and may be coming into this years contest better than ever.  You have to also like the face that Joel Rosario has signed on to ride. Continue reading

Oklahoma Derby Preview

Steamin’ Willy Beamin Looks to Take Oklahoma by Storm

There are nine probable entries for the race at the moment.  Here is the run down of what is looking to be an extremely entertaining race.

– Willy Beamin

The winner of six in row is coming off his biggest win by far; a half-length win in the Grade 1 King’s Bishop Stakes.  The run this horse is on is incredible.  He was claimed for $25,000 in March, which makes it even more amazing.  To add to that, he won two stakes in THE SAME WEEK at Saratoga; winning the Albany on a Wednesday and the King’s Bishop on a Saturday.  This will be his first race outside the state of New York which might be the only question mark on him.  He’ll be the deserving morning line favorite, and should have a major say in the outcome of this race.

– Speightcity

Speightcity exits the Travers Stakes where he set the early pace,  but faded to finish eighth.  Trainer Gary Contessa hasn’t been shy about where this horse has been spotted, and I would consider this spot to actually be some class relief for the colt.  I look for him to get more a stalking trip this time, and if the price is right he’s worth a solid look.  Anytime a classy colt like this runs in an ungraded stakes you should take notice.

– Daddy Nose Best

Remember when this guy was the “wise guy” pick to win the Kentucky Derby?  Turns out that wasn’t all that wise.  He was terrible in that race, and followed it up with another bomb in the Preakness.  They tried turf with him next time, and he was only beaten three-quarters of a length in the American Derby at Arlington.  He was scheduled for turf again, but the race came off and he finished a well beaten third.  Now he’s going to try dirt again, and honestly I have mixed feelings on his chances.  Considering he’ll probably be bet pretty hard, he may not be the greatest of plays. Continue reading

Breeders Cup Predictions #3

Four changes this week…

Classic: Game On Dude – He remains my pick for a third straight week, but will this weeks action sway my opinion?

Ladies Classic:Questing – I’m still going to stick by her.  The track at Parx was strange, and she did spot My Miss Aurelia some weight.  What a race this is going to be!

Mile: Wise Dan – Dominating performance in the Woodbine Mile, next stop…Breeders Cup Turf Mile.

Turf: Optimizer – Hey, what can I say, I’ve got a weak spot for this horse!  Obviously he’s found his niche, and is there any doubt he can run all day on the lawn?  I think he’ll do what his daddy did, win this thing in wire to wire fashion. Continue reading

Pennsylvania Derby (Grade 2) Preview

Alpha Looks to make it Three in a Row

Racing Dudes Picks

Win – #4 Alpha

Exacta – 4,6,7 boxed

Trifecta – 4,7,6/4,7,6/2,6,7,8 boxed

Horse to use in Vertical Wagering – 4,6,7,8

Race Shape

Speed – Csaba

Stalkers – Casual Trick, Handsome Mike, Alpha, Golden Ticket, Macho Macho

Closers – Stehpanoatsee, Junebugred Continue reading

Cotillion Stakes (Grade 1) Preview

Questing (above) takes on a major threat in My Miss Aurelia

It’s hard to do our regular race preview, so instead I’ll just run a run down of the four horses that are entered.  It’s basically a match race between Questing and My Miss Aurelia.  I love them both, but Questing is the pick for me.  She’s shown brilliance in her last two races, and this is a lot to ask of My Miss Aurelia at this time.  Here my projected order of finish:

#2 Questing (GB) – The division’s new number one horse, and perhaps number one filly overall, looks to make it four in a row since switching to the dirt surface.  With only four horses in the race, you have to think that benefits Questing.  She’ll likely be able to set whatever kind of pace she likes in this spot, which is scary considering her last race had fast fractions and she still had plenty left in the tank.  If she shows up with her “A” game is there really any filly or mare out there that can beat her?  I don’t believe so.

#3 My Miss Aurelia (KY) – It’s really hard for me to pick against this horse, but I just don’t know if she’s fully ready to take on a horse like Questing.  My Miss Aurelia is a perfect five for five, including a victory in last years Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies race.  After that race she had a long break, and came back to win an ungraded sprint at Saratoga in August despite stumbling badly at the start and drifting towards the crowd at the end.  I thought the effort was nice, but it was clear she needed that race.  Look for a much sharper effort this time out, but will it be enough to overtake the dominate Questing?  The task is large…

#4 Dixie Strike (ON) – Well what can you say about the other two entires in this race.  They are likely to be totally ignored by the betting public, and for good reason.  I picked Dixie Strike third mostly because of her classy starts in Canada.  The Prince of Wales Stakes win was really solid, and I’m tossing out her last race as I don’t think she ever cared for the surface.  No reason to not take a shot at this spot, but unlikely to beat the top two.

#1 Moment in Dixie (KY) – Much like Dixie Strike, this horse looks over matched by the top two.  Again, why not take a shot though?  With only four horses entered, you are running for good money no matter where you finish.  Moment in Dixie can probably be somewhat competitive with Dixie Strike, so if one of the top two falter you never know what could happen.

Remington Park Pick 4 Analysis 9-19-12

If you’ve never bet the Remington Park Prime Time Pick 4 you are really missing out.  It’s the only pick 4 Remington offers, and it almost always pays a very solid amount.  The fields in the sequence are always full and well-balanced.  Here is what our ticket will look like for tonight’s action.  Remember that this pick 4 has a $1 minimum, not .50 cents. Continue reading

Breeders Cup Predictions #2

The only change in this weeks predictions is in the Juvenile Sprint.

Classic: Game On Dude – He remains my pick this week, and I love the jockey change to Bejarano.

Ladies Classic: Questing – We’ll see her this week in the Cotillion Stakes at Parx, where she may go up against My Miss Aurelia.

Mile: Wise Dan – Dominating performance in the Woodbine Mile, next stop…Breeders Cup Turf Mile. Continue reading